Recent Updates

Tennessee Market Highlights

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Corn, cotton, soybeans, and wheat were down for the week. As of March 24, December corn was trading 7 ¾ cents lower than last year; November soybeans were trading 54 ¼ cents higher; December cotton was trading $0.18 cents higher; and wheat was trading 31 ¼ cents lower. Similarly, in Tennessee, September and October/November cash forward contract prices are 5 cents lower and 63 cents higher for corn and soybeans, respectively.

 
Planting is quickly approaching and with substantially higher relative prices to corn it is likely that cotton and soybean acreage will see increased acreage nationally. Relative prices are only one of the factors (all though a very important one) that producers consider when determining which crops they will plant. Other important considerations include: relative changes in the cost of production, adherence to crop rotations, expected yields, anticipated weather, and planting conditions. Typically if planting conditions are good early in the planting interval corn acreage increases. Continue reading at Tennessee Market Highlights. 

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What is a ‘breakeven price’ really and what should yours be for 2017?

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Every year I get calls from producers asking what should be their breakeven price.

While this is a number I generate monthly for profitability update reports, it really is a generic number. Each producer should have their own breakeven price number that they calculate based on their operation. While Extension coworkers and colleagues across Tennessee and other states can assist in the calculation, there will be wide variations among producers. There will be differences between operations among the basic inputs of seed, fertilizer, herbicide, insecticide, fungicide as well as fuel, repairs and labor. Each operation will have a different cost structure based on how and where inputs are purchased. The differences in input costs are really not the differences I get concerned with in calculating breakeven prices or yields. Continue reading at Southeast Farm Press.

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UT Commodity Market Update 3/24/2017

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Corn: Since the market’s open on Monday morning, September corn futures have declined by approximately $0.11. This decline in prices may cause some producers to make some last minute changes to their planting intentions. With the planting intention report due out on March 31st, we will begin to see the market try to buy more acreage. This decline in prices is somewhat puzzling due to better export sales, acceptable demand from ethanol plants, and the expectation of lower acres in 2017. Continue reading

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Tennessee Market Highlights

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Corn and cotton were up; soybeans and wheat were down for the week. There were limited gains and losses for the week across all four commodities as most contracts traded flat for the week.

For December corn, early week losses were more than offset by daily gains at the end of the week. Domestic planted acreage, for corn, will be closely watched. If estimates continue to indicate a reduction in corn acreage a moderate rally could occur. This week’s export sales were also a pleasant surprise for prices.

November soybeans continued to slide lower this week and are now 40 cents lower than the start of March. Soybeans continue to face headwinds due to the record South American crop, greater projected planted acreage in the U.S., and a strong USD. There is strong support in the November contract near $9.80. The USDA’s Prospective Plantings report, at the end of the month could provide some additional price volatility. Continue reading at Tennessee Market Highlights.

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UT Commodity Market Update 3/17/2017

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Corn: Over the past week, corn futures have struggled to gain ground. September corn futures have increased by $0.03 since the markets open on Monday. As the dollar continues to strengthen, corn exports will continue to face headwinds. However, ethanol production continues to remain relatively robust either due to building of stocks or an increase in gas consumption. The USDA will release their planting intentions report on March 31st. This will be the next major milestone for the corn market. New crop corn basis for West TN continues to remain negative with an average of -$0.12.

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Consider Wheat Herbicide Plant Back Intervals on Failed Wheat Stand Decisions

It will be the end of next week (March 24) before we can tell how badly the wheat was injured from the cold temperatures this week.  Of course, a decade ago we had a similar cold spell that many folks refer to as the Easter freeze.  Back then some fields were destroyed and replanted to other crops while others were kept and went to yield.  Then as now when making this decision the herbicides that have been applied to the wheat must play a factor in how to proceed. Continue reading

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Freeze damage to jointing wheat

For much of Tennessee’s wheat, the cold front which moved through Saturday (March 11th) dropped temperatures near the danger zone. Jointing typically does not occur until late March but our mild winter has allowed much of the timely planted wheat to mature faster than normal.  Much of our wheat is between Feekes stages 7 and 8.  In the below image, the growing point was located near the knife blade.  Wheat becomes considerably less tolerant to cold temperatures after the growing point leaves the base of the plant. Continue reading

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