All posts by Chuck Danehower, Extension Area Specialist - Farm Management

Comments on the April 10 USDA Supply & Demand Report

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Corn

In today’s report, ending stocks were unchanged at 801 million bushels and a 6.3% stock to use ratio. Based on the March 1 stocks, the trade was disappointed as the expectation was projected ending stocks of 717 million bushels. The season average price is projected to range from $6.00 to $6.40 a bushel, narrowed 10 cents on both ends. Global corn stocks decreased 72 million bushels from last month to 4.831 billion bushels on lower beginning stocks, unchanged production, and lower feed use. Continue reading


Profitability Outlook

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This table should be used as a guide as yields, prices, and expenses will vary among producers and locations. This table looks at crop prices as of April 10, 2012 for 2012 and can give a glimpse of what crop profitability is in Tennessee as of this date. One of the expense items that have to be watched is fertilizer. For reference, in variable expenses below, fertilizer expense per acre is estimated as follows: cotton – $ 153, Soybeans – $55, Corn – $172 (includes 150 units of N), Milo – $138, and wheat/soybeans – $135. Production costs will be updated as we go through the year. Due to the warm spring, additional burndowns are needed in cotton (+$39 chemical) and soybeans (+$11 chemical) and the increased chemical and sprayer cost have been updated. Continue reading


Crop Progress

As reported by NASS on April 9, 2012

CORN PLANTING TWO WEEKS AHEAD OF SCHEDULE

Tennessee corn farmers took full advantage of the six days suitable for fieldwork to make great planting progress last week. Sub-normal precipitation, coupled with warmer than normal temperatures, allowed growers to end the week at forty-six percent planted. This pace is two weeks ahead of the five-year average and one of the most rapid starts on record. The Tennessee wheat crop is in good-to-excellent condition and is developing at a rate two weeks earlier than usual. The main farm work, other than planting last week, was fertilizer and pesticide applications. Pastures looked exceptionally good. Continue reading


Weekly Crop Marketing Comments

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Corn and soybean prices are up while cotton and wheat prices are down for the week. Markets were closed on Friday due to the Good Friday holiday so market closes are as of Thursday, April 5, 2012. The June U.S. Dollar Index closed is at 80.09, up .95 for the week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 152 points for the week at 13,060. Crude Oil closed at 103.31 a barrel, up 0.34 a barrel for the week. Employment gains were reported on Friday while the markets were closed and were weaker than expected. The unemployment rate dipped slightly to 8.2%. USDA will update its monthly Supply & Demand report on Tuesday, April 10. Continue reading


Crop Progress

Crop Progress as reported by NASS on April 2, 2012

WARM SPRING “JUMP STARTS” FARM ACTIVITIES

The 2012 farming season is well underway after a mild winter allowing farmers to progress rapidly with field activities, especially planting corn. Corn farmers across the Volunteer State took advantage of the unseasonably warm weather to push corn planting progress up by one week. Also, winter wheat is developing at rate about 10 days ahead of the normal pace and was rated in mostly good condition. Wheat growers were able to make their top dressing applications on time and there have been some reports of fungicide and insecticide applications being made. Pastures are greening-up and hay supplies remain adequate. Continue reading


Weekly Crop Marketing Comments

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Cotton, soybean, and wheat prices are up while corn prices are down for the week. The June U.S. Dollar Index before the close is at 79.17, down .41 for the week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average before the close is up 131 points for the week at 13,212. Crude Oil was trading before the close at 103.08 a barrel, down 2.89 a barrel for the week. Continue reading


Comments on the March 30 USDA Prospective Planting and Grain Stocks Report

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The USDA Prospective Plantings and Quarterly Grain Stocks Report were released today, March 30 and are based on information as of March 1, 2012. The prospective plantings report fell within pre-report ranges for cotton and wheat and above the high end of expectations for corn and below the low end of expectations for soybeans. On the average, corn acres were 1.16 million acres higher than the average pre report guess; cotton 410,000 acres more than the average guess; soybeans 1.6 million acres less than the average pre report guess; and wheat 1.69 million acres less than the average pre report guess. The quarterly grain stocks were reported to be Continue reading