February 9, 2012 Profitability Outlook

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This table should be used as a guide as yields, prices, and expenses will vary among producers and locations. This table looks at crop prices as of February 9, 2012 for 2012 and can give a glimpse of what crop profitability is in Tennessee as of this date. One of the expense items that have to be watched is fertilizer. For reference, in variable expenses below, fertilizer expense per acre is estimated as follows: cotton – $ 153, Soybeans – $55, Corn – $172 (includes 150 units of N), Milo – $138, and wheat/soybeans – $135. Production costs will be updated as we go through the year. Please visit with your farm supplier on estimated cost in your area. Producers with owned land and or cash rent can use Returns Over Variable as a guide in decision making. Producers with share rent ground should use Returns Over Variable and Land Costs as a guide with their appropriate share rent calculated. A land cost of 25% of revenue is used in the table as a guide or method of comparison and should not be construed as the appropriate rent for a particular area. Producers who are not making major equipment changes can use UT budgets and this table as a guide in developing their own cropping decision budgets. If equipment changes are being made, then a whole farm financial plan would be better suited as a decision aid. Please contact your local County Extension office or Area Specialist – Farm Management for assistance in developing your own budget or farm financial plan.

 

2012 Estimated Returns

 

Cotton

Soybeans

Corn

Milo

Wheat/Soybeans

Yield

850 lbs.

40 bu.

125 bu.

90 bu.

60 bu./28 bu.

Price (as of 02/09/12)

$0.96 lbs

$12.46 bu.

$5.88 bu.

$5.33 bu.

$6.78 bu./$12.46 bu.

Revenue

$816

$498

$735

$480

 

$756

Variable Expenses

$478

$216

$332

$238

$428

Returns Over Variable

$338

$283

$403

$242

$328

Land Costs (25% of Revenue)

$203

$125

$184

$120

$189

Returns Over Variable and Land Costs

$135

$158

$220

$122

$139

Fixed Costs
Depreciation & interest on machinery

$76

$41

$39

$34

$83

Returns Over Specified Costs

$59

$118

$180

$88

$56

 

Some differences have occurred due to rounding.